Out of the fog that claimed the life of Iran’s president, some clarity is emerging about Tehran’s next steps.

The bad news for Western capitals and those Iranian activists pushing for change is that there’s little hope of a relaxation of political oppression, or of the antagonism directed at the U.S. and its allies, according to Western officials.

They see the authoritarian regime as robust enough to carry on its current trajectory after Ebrahim Raisi’s death in a helicopter crash.